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RE: The Ugly American Response
Acha! I've been gone from the O-nerd for a while, but remember Occams position on the war now. I will refer you to STRATFOR's assessment on the war in Iraq:
Our view was that the Bush administration would go to war in Iraq not because it saw it as a great idea, but because its options were to go on the defensive against al Qaeda and wait for the next attack or take the best of a bad lot of offensive actions (www.stratfor.com/analysis/iraq_terrorism_and_geopolitics). The second option consisted of trying to create what we called the "coalition of the coerced," Islamic countries prepared to cooperate in the covert war against al Qaeda. Fighting in Afghanistan was merely a holding action that alone would solve nothing. So lacking good options, the administration chose the best of a bad lot.
STRATFOR's assessment is accurate and well reasoned. We didn't have much of a choice, as the only effective way to fight is offensively - reference the Maginot Line.
I still hold that the war in Iraq has not had a significant impact on our economy and that the current economic decline is the result of dishonest bankers and crooked businessmen. Market watches that I read predict that we have reached the bottom and that the summer may well prove to be better. Time will tell.
The sad truth is that international political decisions will often not present you with any good choices, but instead will only leave you with less bad options.
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RE: The Ugly American Response
That which is popular is not always right. Matter of fact, that which is popular often has a tendency to be wrong.
I prefer the latter, as it keeps me and mine (the USA and my family, friends, and girls I sleep with) safe.
Good points, and probably representative of the feelings of many Americans. I think you are saying that our Government's aim should be to do right for us and not to be overly concerned with being popular. Agreed.
I wish I could also share your feeling that our foreign policy makes us safer. For me the evidence seems to indicate the opposite. 911 was more scary for us than for Europeans, but our involvement in wars that don't otherwise affect us actually makes us less safe. Alienation of potential allies is usually unwise unledd there is a worthwhile return because we might need them one day.
The War on Terrorism has made terrorism worse. Although there was no evidence that Iraq was connected with Al Qaeda before we invaded, perhaps the President truly believed that Saddam's WMDs did threaten us back then, so we had to invade. I think that there is validity in that view, but with 20/20 hindsight we now know it was wrong and Iraq had nothing to do with terrorism against the USA then. I accept that it is connected now. Although there are these mitigating circumstances, starting that war was still a very bad move.
The cost of the war in Iraq has exacerbated the securities financial crisis and taken many of us ordinary Americans to the brink of personal financial ruin. That may mean fewer girls around for us to sleep with, if we can still sleep.
I agree with you to the extent that our aim should not be to be popular but to to do right by the world community according to our core values, as well as taking care of our own needs at the same time, and to be consistent about it. Every country puts its own interest first in its foreign policy, but most try to hide this in the interest of maintaining leverage in diplomacy. It is a devious business: has always been so, and will continue to be. I do not think that we are doing that very well. If we did it better our popularity might improve as a by product.
I also agree with you that our foreign policy is probably too complex for most Americans and Europeans to understand. Is blind faith in our government the appropriate response to that? We can expect that from many loyal Americans but not from Europeans.
I guess that it really doesn't matter for people who feel that our present style of international relations makes them safer. That would be enough to justify it if only it were true.
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