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U.S./Britain Challenge Preemptive Strike Rumors

Jack Straw has dismissed rumors that the U.S. or Great Britain is planning for a major air strike against nuclear targets within Iran. Straw insisted that ‘there is no smoking gun, there is no casus belli.’ The White House has also labeled reports concerning its supposed military aspirations against Iran as ‘over-reported and hyped without knowledge.’ These statements have all been made in response to a magazine report which claims that America is ‘drawing up a list of targets, and teams of combat troops have been ordered into Iran, under cover, to collect targeting data and to establish contact with anti-government ethnic-minority groups.’ The Bush administration has countered by saying that the U.S. military is ‘always making plans for countless contingencies’ but that the ‘diplomatic approach’ is the chosen course vis-a-vis Iran.

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No way!! The U.S. has made draft war plans for a potential conflict with Iran?? Why would the U.S. do such a thing for a country the President has declared to be part of the "Axis of Evil; with whom we have not had official diplomatic relations since 1980, who refers to us as "The Great Satan; and who calls for our allies to be "wiped off the map;

The U.S. military has been drafting hypothetical war plans for every imaginable scenario since at least the 1920s. I suspect this state of affairs has not changed much. In fact, I would wager that if a conflict with Iran were to suddenly break out and the U.S. military were NOT prepared for that eventuality, Mr. Hersh and his ilk would loudly proclaim the irresponsibility of the administration. This is nothing but sensationalist non-news.

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OPLAN 5027 by VnutZ

The United States has OPLAN 5027 for engaging in war with North Korea. This plan has been undergoing continuous updates and is even rehearsed in stages annually by 2ID and all supporting units in the ROK. USFK has been studying DPRK doctrine and wargaming the battle against North Korea for more than 50 years now. Thus, there is a clear precedent that having a plan does not equal using a plan.

So what disturbs you more … having a warplan or finding many of its details on-line? I, personally, am not too happy about finding these things on-line. I actually found a draft version of 5030 once, that called for a lot of pre-emptive moves against the DPRK to draw out the DMZ defense and diminish the stockpiled arsenal.

"The threat from Iran is, of course, their stated objective to destroy our strong ally Israel," Bush said last month. "That’s a threat, a serious threat. It’s a threat to world peace; it’s a threat, in essence, to a strong alliance. I made it clear, I’ll make it clear again, that we will use military might to protect our ally."

The real question is what is the likelihood that Iran would attack Israel? If a move by the Hamas led Palestinians could be linked back to Iranian backing … would that constitute a need for alliance strings to be pulled?

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